Journal of Environmental Studies
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Review Article
The Sex Ratio at Birth: The Role of Ionizing Radiation Vs. Social Factors
Jargin SV
Department of Pathology, People’s Friendship University of Russia,
Russian Federation
*Address for Correspondence: Jargin SV, Department of Pathology, People’s Friendship University of Russia, Russian Federation; E-mail: sjargin@mail.ru
Submission: 12 September, 2023
Accepted: 18 October, 2023
Published: 21 October, 2023
Copyright: © 2023 Jargin SV. This is an open-access article
distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction
in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Demography; Sex Ratios; Abortion; Ionizing Radiation;
Nuclear Energy
Abstract
The concept has been propagated by certain writers that
elevation of the radiation background due to nuclear testing and
Chernobyl fallout skewed the sex ratio at birth towards more males. This
hypothesis remains unproven and seems to camouflage the following
tendencies exemplified here on the basis of the former Soviet Union.
Almost all regions displayed an increase in the male/total ratio at birth
from 1986 onwards. The highest ratios have been reported from the
South Caucasus, being explained by the son preference and sexselective
abortions. The same is probably true for the North Caucasus,
where birthrate has been the highest in Russian Federation. Elevation of
male/fenale ratios at birth coincided with the increasing availability of
the prenatal ultrasonic gender testing.
Migrations further contribute to the gender imbalance: Shortage of men due to the emigration creates additional stimuli for sex-selective abortions in their native areas.
Male/female ratios at birth in developed countries are influenced by the immigration from regions with the son preference and gender imbalance: Immigrants bring their reproductive stereotypes with them. The predominance of males may contribute to antisocial behaviour and militarism. Nuclear facilities are potential targets in armed conflicts. One of the motives to exaggerate consequences of low-dose radiation exposures and threats to use nuclear weapons seems to be boosting fossil fuel prices. In more developed countries, antinuclear resentments have been supported by green activists, well in agreement with the interests of fossil fuel vendors, certain companies and governments.
There are no long-term alternatives to the nuclear energy: Nonrenewable fossil fuels will become more expensive, contributing to excessive population growth in the regions rich in fossil fuels and decreasing quality of life in the rest of the world.
Migrations further contribute to the gender imbalance: Shortage of men due to the emigration creates additional stimuli for sex-selective abortions in their native areas.
Male/female ratios at birth in developed countries are influenced by the immigration from regions with the son preference and gender imbalance: Immigrants bring their reproductive stereotypes with them. The predominance of males may contribute to antisocial behaviour and militarism. Nuclear facilities are potential targets in armed conflicts. One of the motives to exaggerate consequences of low-dose radiation exposures and threats to use nuclear weapons seems to be boosting fossil fuel prices. In more developed countries, antinuclear resentments have been supported by green activists, well in agreement with the interests of fossil fuel vendors, certain companies and governments.
There are no long-term alternatives to the nuclear energy: Nonrenewable fossil fuels will become more expensive, contributing to excessive population growth in the regions rich in fossil fuels and decreasing quality of life in the rest of the world.
Introduction
In humans, the natural sex ratio at birth (SRB) is slightly skewed
towards males. The objective of this review was questioning the
hypothesis that an increase in SRB has been caused or influenced
by low-dose ionizing radiation from nuclear testing and Chernobyl
fallout [1-19]. Conclusions by Dr. Grech were that “elevated levels
of man-made ambient radiation may have reduced total births,
affecting pregnancies carrying female pregnancies more than those
carrying male pregnancies, thereby skewing M/T (male live births
divided by total live births) toward a higher male proportion” [3]
and that “birth rates are greatly reduced and the M/T ratio is skewed
upward significantly with population exposure to ionizing radiation,
even at great distances from major nuclear events” [1]. Significance
of supposedly radiation-related shifts of sex ratios [2,15] has been
questioned [20,21]. A review concluded that “there is little consistent
evidence that ionizing radiation affects the sex ratio” [22].
Social and other factors that could have influenced SRB have not
been analysed exhaustively. Additional doses due to contaminations
were often negligible compared to the natural radiation background
(NRB). Worldwide annual doses from NRB are generally expected
to be in the range of 1-10 mSv, with 2.4 mSv being the estimated
global average [23]. Some national averages are over 10 mSv [24]. In Europe, mean annual doses from NRB are around 5-7 mSv in several
countries [25,26]. There are populated areas in the world where the
dose rate from NRB is 10-100 times higher than the average; yet
there have been no reliable data on SRB shifts in such areas [27,28].
A study based on over 150,000 consecutive live singleton newborns
in the areas of Kerala with elevated NRB did not indicate any impact
of radiation on the sex ratio [29]. The maximum annual dose from
the global fallout due to nuclear tests was estimated to be 0.14 mSv
in 1963, having decreased by almost an order of magnitude by 1979
[23]. Annual individual doses in the vicinity of reactors have been
in the range 0.001-0.5 mSv [23], so that the above dose comparisons
pertain also to the reported shift of SRB among people residing near
nuclear plants [14,16]. In this connection, a role of confounding
factors cannot be excluded [30].
In a study from 1958, radiation was found to influence the sex
ratio among infants born to survivors of the atomic bombing [31].
However, this association has not been confirmed in later studies; the
data on the total number of births in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in the
period 1956-1962 indicated no significant difference in the sex ratio
of infants [32]. In regard to the Chernobyl accident, “as far as wholebody
doses are concerned, the six million residents of the areas of
the former Soviet Union (SU) deemed contaminated received average
effective doses for the period 1986-2005 of about 9 mSv, whereas for
the 98 million people considered in the three republics, the average
effective dose was 1.3 mSv, a third of which was received in 1986. This
represents an insignificant increase over the dose due to background
radiation over the same period (around 50 mSv)” [33]. Outside the
former SU, individual doses were lower: the first-year doses after
the Chernobyl accident reached 1 mSv only in several places in
Central Europe, all country averages being below 1 mSv/a [25,34].
For comparison, a single computed tomographic (CT) examination
produces a dose 2-20 mSv, while the doses from interventional
diagnostic procedures usually range from 5 to 70 mSv [35]. Neither
health risks nor SRB shifts have been reliably proven for the abovementioned
dose levels [36,37].
Male radiologists tended to father even a lower proportion of
boys compared to the control group [38]. Results of human studies
of paternal preconceptional exposures are summarized in [39],
whereas both increased and decreased male/female (M/F) ratios in
the offspring were reported, most of the differences being statistically
insignificant. The most significant result (P < 0.001) was a decrease of
SRB in the offspring of fathers exposed to a pelvic irradiation (1394
exposed individuals vs. 1926 controls) with estimated testicular doses
20-200 mSv [39,40]. Reduced sex ratio (deficit of boys) was found
also in the offspring of irradiated women with a mean ovarian dose
about 200 mGy [41]. The diversity of results and potential bias in
the epidemiological research (discussed below) indicate that the
question can be reliably solved only by means of wide-scale animal
experiments. Admittedly, studies with primates (which might
be similar enough to humans to extrapolate the results directly)
are expensive while extrapolations from laboratory animals are
associated with uncertainties [42]. However, experiments with low
radiation doses seem to be feasible in animal breeding facilities. The
use of various specimens must enable more precise extrapolations to
humans.
The following studies should be cited in this connection.
Experiments using 18 generations of exposed mice with the daily dose
about 0.29 mGy suggested that low-dose low-rate exposures do not
affect the sex ratio in mouse litters [43]. No radiation-induced sex
ratio changes in the offspring of mice were found by other researchers
[44-48]. Note that doses applied in animal experiments are much
higher than average doses to the residents of contaminated territories
after the Chernobyl accident. These latter doses are generally
within the window for the maximum adaptive response protection.
Admittedly, the concept of hormesis based on adaptive responses is a
controversial topic. Adaptive responses in mammals and mammalian
cells operate within a certain window, typically between about 1
and 100 mGy for a single low dose rate exposure but the upper dose
threshold for protective responses against neoplastic transformation
is probably above 100 mGy, for both human and mouse cells [49].
Bias in epidemiological studies of low-dose radiation:
Bias is not excluded in many epidemiological studies of lowdose
radiation effects: dose-dependent selection and self-selection,
surveillance bias, higher participation of cases (e.g., cancer patients)
compared to controls etc. [37]. Better recollection by cases of the
facts related to radiation exposures (recall bias) may contribute to
the overestimation of doses in the cases. The recall bias was noticed
in some studies of CT and other radiological procedures, whereby
patients are more likely to recall medical exposures than healthy
controls [50]. The selection and self-selection bias is a problem
for epidemiological research; it is known also from studies of
radiofrequency magnetic fields, where, analogously to low-dose
ionizing radiation, there is some epidemiological association with
cancer but no supporting experimental evidence [51]. In populations
exposed to ionizing radiation, the self-selection bias must be
stronger than for radiofrequency electromagnetic fields because
carcinogenicity of the former is known by the broad public. It can
be reasonably assumed that people informed on their higher doses
would visit medical facilities more often being averagely given more
attention. It is known that correlations are not necessarily causative.
Other kinds of bias are not excluded in the epidemiological research;
for example, men employed at Sellafield nuclear plant fathered a
greater than expected proportion of boys, a possible explanation
being their on average younger age. It is known that fathers aged 20-
29 years produce more boys than other fathers, while there was an
excess of Sellafield fathers in this age range [39]. Addressing the issue
of occupational exposure, a study of 621 radiation workers could not
find a link between the radiation exposure and gender ratio of their
children [27]. In the author’s opinion, the reported relationships
of low-dose exposures with SRB and other non-cancer endpoints,
being devoid of physiological plausibility, witness against cause-effect
relationships of the same doses with cancer, discussed on the basis of
epidemiological research.In this connection, ideological bias aimed at the strangulation
of nuclear energy should be pointed out [52], well in agreement
with the interests of fossil fuel producers, certain companies and
governments [37]. Accordingly, conflicts of interest may be surmised
in some scientific writers. Nuclear power has returned to the agenda
because of the concerns about increasing global energy demand,
declining fossil fuel reserves and climate changes. Health burdens
were reported to be the greatest for power stations based on lignite,
coal, and oil. The health burdens are smaller for natural gas and still
lower for the nuclear power. This ranking also applies for greenhouse
gas emissions [53]. In the author’s opinion, the global development
of nuclear energy must be managed by a powerful international
executive based in the most developed parts of the world. It would
enable construction of nuclear power plants (NPP) in optimally
suitable places, disregarding national borders, considering all sociopolitical,
geological and other preconditions, quality of working by
local professionals, etc. [37,54]. In this way, nuclear accidents like in
Fukushima, caused by the earthquake and tsunami, or in Chernobyl,
favoured by disregard for written instructions [55,56], would be
prevented. Obviously, durable peace is needed because NPPs are
potential targets. By analogy with the Chernobyl accident, the war
damage and shutdown of the Zaporozhie NPP (the largest NPP in
Europe) due to the current Ukraine conflict will enhance demands
for fossil fuels.
Other Factors That Can Influence the Male to Female Ratio at Birth:
The following important statements by Dr. Grech [4,5] have
been commented previously [57]: “However, all of the above are
overshadowed by femicide, the selective destruction of female
foetuses in societies (primarily Asian) which prize males more than
females” and “Gendercide and femineglect (the deliberate neglect
of females vis-à-vis health, education, etc.) is rampant, especially in
Asia”. Indeed, except for the Baltic States, all regions of the former SU
showed a significant SRB increase from 1986 onwards [1]. The highest
SRB ratios were reported from the South Caucasus (Azerbaijan,
Armenia and Georgia) [1], being explained by the son preference
and sex-selective abortions [58]. The same is probably true for the
North Caucasus, where birthrate has been the highest in the Russian
Federation. The elevation of SRB in the former SU coincided with
the increasing availability of the prenatal ultrasonic gender testing in
the late 1980s [1,58]. A relatively high M/T ratio at the time of the
generally unavailable prenatal gender testing (1981-1985) in Caucasus
[1] is an indication to the female neonaticide - an ancient family
planning tool [59-61]. Not only in the Caucasus, the main driver of
the gender imbalance among neonates was female infanticide and
negligence towards female children until the 1980s. Since about 1985,
ultrasound-enabled prenatal sex determination followed by selective
abortion of female fetuses has become the predominant method for
families to enact cultural preferences for sons [62].Migrations Further Contribute to The Gender Imbalance:
The shortage of men in consequence of emigration creates
additional stimuli for sex-selective abortions. Considerable gender
imbalance is observed in Russia among immigrants from the Caucasus
and Middle Asia. According to a census, the male/female ratio in
Crimea among ethnic Russians was 0.85, Tatars – 0.98, Karaites –
1.3, Krymchaks – 1.4 [63]. Evaluating statistics, it should be taken
into account that gender imbalance is masked by a relatively low life
duration of males. Obviously, the social significance of the gender
imbalance decreases with age. Official statistics based on censes tends
to underestimate the gender imbalance as predominantly males are
involved in migrations, some of them remaining uncounted by censes.
Presumably, prohibitive measures against sex-selective abortions
will not be sufficiently effective. Such prohibitions would stimulate
“traditional” methods of demographic regulation such as the female
neonaticide and neglect of newborn girls, driven by socioeconomic,
cultural, and historical factors [64-66]. Apart from traditions, a
mechanism maintaining the higher birth rate and son preference is
an insufficient social security. Ageing people depend on their children
for support, while sons and their families are more likely than
daughters to be caregivers e.g., in China [67]. Many families try to
ensure that at least one boy is born, especially following a firstborn girl
[68]. Therefore, an improvement of the social security in developing
countries must positively influence the demographic processes. These
considerations are more constructive than discussions of the role of
radiation from nuclear tests or Chernobyl fallout as a cause of gender
shifts as far as in Cuba [12].Gender imbalance due to the son preference and sex-selective
abortions is a known fact in China, India and Korea, in the Caucasus
and among immigrants from Asia to Europe and the United States
[58,60,66,68-72]. On the one hand, there are many immigrants
from the Caucasus in the former SU (except for the Baltic States
mentioned above); on the other hand, similar tendencies of the son
preference probably exist also in some other groups of the ex-Soviet
population. Insufficient security coupled with the tolerant attitude
towards violations of laws and regulations might have motivated
some families to have sons: for more safety and economical success.
The dynamics of SRB in Central Europe [1] must be influenced by
the ongoing immigration from countries with the son preference and
gender imbalance.
Discussion
There has been some discussion recently [6,8,17,73,74]. The
following arguments should be further commented: “A social factor
that may skew the birth sex ratio is gender selective abortion, a
practice reported from parts of Asia and parts of North Africa [75].
However, this method requires advanced techniques for prenatal
gender ascertainment that were not available at the time of the
Windscale fire in 1957 and during the era of the major atmospheric
nuclear weapons testing prior to 1963” [8]. Apart from sex-selective
abortions, requiring prenatal gender testing, there has always been
some percentage of female neonaticide and neglect of newborn girls
- the ancient tools of the demographic regulation in certain cultures
[59-62]. Moreover, since olden times, there have been methods
of attempted prenatal gender prediction and selection, possibly
successful in some cases [76]. Finally, reduced SRB has been linked
to the older age at childbearing [71,77]. The mean age of mothers at
childbirth is higher in more developed countries, generally tending to
increase [78]. The higher SRB values and their dynamics in Europe
compared to the United States [8], have an explanation unrelated to
radiation: the ongoing immigration to Europe from Asia and Africa
including regions with the son preference. The immigration to the
United States occurs largely from Latin America, where prenatal
sex-selection is not part of the culture, females are valued high,
the son preference being “fairly mild” [79]. Immigrants bring their
reproductive stereotypes with them [62,72]; the dynamics of the sex
ratio at birth may be partially determined by the immigration.
Furthermore, “…we found a significant dose-response association
of Chernobyl fallout with subsequent sex ratio increases at the district
level in Germany” [8]. It should be commented that the increase
in SRB with an odds ratio of 1.009 in 1987 in the data subset from
Bavaria, former GDR and West Berlin [9] was deemed “extremely
small” [22] and may be a spontaneous fluctuation. Of note, the
average first year dose from Chernobyl accident in the former GDR
was around 0.21 mSv, and in the Western part of the country (former
FRG) - 0.16 mSv, which is a small addition to national averages
from NRB: around 3.6 mSv/a in Germany, 3-7 mSv/a in the most
of European countries [25,26]. The slight increase of the perinatal
mortality in the Eastern part of Germany after 1986 was discussed in
support of the radiation role after the Chernobyl accident [10,11,80].
The ratios perinatal deaths/total births in GDR and West Berlin were
as follows: 1986 - 2,183/242,068 = 9.02 per 1,000 total births; 1987 -
2,281/246,704 = 9.24 per 1,000 [10]. This slight increase might have
been caused by social factors (decline of the communist regime) and
emigration of some medical personnel from the former GDR to the
West. In general, oscillations of the perinatal mortality in Central and
Eastern Europe after the Chernobyl accident [10,81] could have been
caused by sociopolitical perturbations of the late 1980s.
It has been argued that “without specific empirical evidence
and reference, Sergei V. Jargin insinuates a possible cause of the
observed long-term increases in perinatal mortality in contaminated
prefectures after Fukushima: ‘It is not surprising that cataclysms with
evacuation of people, associated with stress, temporary derangements
of perinatal care services, of diets, etc., are accompanied by an increase
in the perinatal mortality.’ The data (by Dr. Scherb et al.) clearly show
that in highly tsunami-impacted regions there is indeed a more than
50% increase in perinatal mortality, but this is confined to March
and April 2011 only. From May through December 2011, nowhere
in Japan perinatal mortality remained elevated. Moreover, the
perinatal mortality increase in Chiba, Saitama, and Tokyo 10 months
after the natural and technical catastrophes cannot be explained by
‘derangements of perinatal care’ as the general infrastructure had
not been compromised at all in these 3 prefectures” [17]. Appeals
to dismantle nuclear power plants can be heard e.g., from Germany
[82], being in agreement with the interests of fossil fuel producers and
making the country dependent on the energy carriers coming from
Russia. Cui bono? Some connections could have remained from the
time of the former GDR. The radiophobia causes misappropriation
of resources to accommodate pseudo-dangers [83]. Overtreatment
e.g., of thyroid and bladder lesions favoured by radiation phobia
has been discussed previously [84-86]. It is known by the example
of Chernobyl accident that evacuations of people, psychological
stress and anxiety favoured by exaggerated radiation-related risks
are noxious factors that would be less potent after a catastrophe
without radioactive contamination. In particular, anxiety after a
nuclear accident may have detrimental effects on pregnant women
[87,88]. Expectant mothers with anxiety and post-traumatic stress
were reported to be at a higher risk of preterm birth [89]. Note that
the proportion of male births declines with increasing gestation, the
male excess tending to be maximal in spontaneous preterm births
[90]. Exaggeration of risks from low-dose exposures by some writers,
resonated by mass media, contributed to anxiety in pregnant women.
A presumed risk of fetal abnormalities, illustrated e.g., by newspaper
images in a report by [91], available on the Internet, can move some
families toward the decision to make abortion. There was an increase
in the induced abortion rate in several European countries after the
Chernobyl accident [92-95]. It was reasonably assumed that “the
public debate and anxiety among the pregnant women and their
husbands ‘caused’ more foetal deaths… than the accident” [96].
Biased information “repeatedly created a situation of panic, like a
posttraumatic stress disorder” [97]. After the Chernobyl accident,
“conflicting information and false rumours spread considerable
alarm among the public in general and among pregnant women
in particular” [98]. Certain publications in professional journals
may prevent physicians from giving adequate advice to pregnant
women inquiring about a possible abortion. Radiation phobia with
psychosomatic manifestations developed in many exposed people
[99], being probably more prevalent in contaminated areas thus
contributing to dose-effect correlations. Reiterations of the perinatal
mortality “jump” [18,19] after the Fukushima Daiichi accident can
contribute to anxiety in pregnant women in similar situations in
the future and to an increase in the abortion rate. According to this
mechanism, wanted pregnancies were interrupted after the Chernobyl
accident [97]. Moreover, it cannot be excluded that radiation phobia
contributed to illegal abortions during the last trimester of pregnancy
possibly influencing perinatal mortality figures. Considering that a
certain percentage of abortions after a prenatal ultrasonic gender
testing would be sex-selective, the enhanced abortion rate can
contribute to an elevation of SRB. Analogously, non-married women
of all racial/ethnic groups had higher SRB levels than married women
[71]. The probable explanation is that non-married women tend to
have more abortions; therefore, the total number of sex-selective
abortions must be higher than among married women.
“The doubling of the background radiation level, say, from 1
mSv/a to 2 mSv/a, represents a doubling of an important physical
environmental parameter relevant for the development of life on
the earth, and cannot as such be considered a ‘low dose’ and of no
effect” [8]. A local increase from 1 to 2 mSv/a is of minor significance
as the doses would remain under the global average radiation dose
from NRB. Considering the possibility of radiation hormesis [36], the
doubling of “background radiation level… from 1 mSv/a to 2 mSv/a”
[8] can be even beneficial, by analogy with a doubling of exposure
to the sunlight e.g., of prison inmates. An elevation of the mean
value from 2.4 to 4.8 mSv/a is a real doubling although the twofold
value would remain below many national NRB averages. Among
arguments is also the claim that “the dose (Gray or Sievert) in the
radiation sciences is a surprisingly old and crude concept” [8,17].
Some refinement of the biological weighting factors for different
types of radiation can be indeed awaited from further research [100]
but hardly any gross revision of the scale of values.
Potentially misleading is the concluding phrase: “Social factors
and negligibility of doses is not convincing as gradually changing
social factors cannot entail abrupt sex ratio changes and a doubling
of the background radiation is certainly not trivial” [8]. As discussed
above, neither abrupt sex ratio changes nor doubling of the
background radiation have ever been satisfactorily demonstrated
on sufficiently large territories to allow discussions on the radiation
background elevation as a cause of the sex ratio changes.
“Furthermore, the letter to the editor [73] implies that low
doses of radiation are innocuous. This flies in the face of the linear
no-threshold (LNT) hypothesis that states that at even at low doses,
there is a linear relationship between dose and risk, particularly visa-
vis the probability of cancer induction, all the way down to zero
exposure” [6]. The concept of LNT may be “pragmatic or prudent for
radiation protection purposes” [101] but it is not the same as scientific
validity. The LNT postulates that linear dose-effect correlations,
proven to some extent for higher doses, can be extrapolated down to
minimal doses. However, the DNA damage and repair are permanent
processes in a dynamic equilibrium. Living organisms have been
adapting to the
NRB In a Similar Way as To Other Environmental Factors:
chemical substances and elememts, products of water radiolysis,
ultraviolet light, etc. Natural selection is slow; adaptation to a changing
environmental factor would correspond to some average from the
past. The NRB has been decreasing during the time of life existence
on the Earth [102]. The mutation repair mechanisms evolved in the
distant past so that organisms may have retained some capability of
efficient reparation in conditions of a higher NRB than that existing
today. Considering the above, with the dose rates tending to the wide
range NRB level, radiation-related risks would tend to zero, and
can even descend below zero within some dose range in accordance
with hormesis. Undoubtedly, ionizing radiation can cause damage
of the developing embryo or fetus, which can enhance the prenatal
mortality. Mainly on the basis of animal studies and observations of
exposures in pregnant women, both the International Commission
on Radiological Protection (ICRP) and the United Nations Scientific
Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR)
considered that there is a threshold at about 100 mGy [103,104],
which is much higher than average doses discussed above for nuclear
testsing and accidents.There is no reliable evidence that exposures to low-dose ionizing
radiation or elevated radiation background can modify SRB in humans.
The conclusions that “elevated levels of man-made ambient radiation
may have reduced total births, affecting pregnancies carrying female
pregnancies more than those carrying male pregnancies, thereby
skewing M/T toward a higher male proportion” [3] and that “the
M/T ratio is skewed upward significantly with population exposure to
ionizing radiation, even at great distances from major nuclear events”
[1] have not been sufficiently corroborated. The conclusion that “the
global correlation of health and socioeconomic indicators with M/T
suggests that M/T may be a useful sentinel health indicator” [7] can
hardly be agreed with as SRB depends on many known and unknown
factors. A significant role of radiation from the nuclear testing and
Chernobyl fallout as a factor modifying SRB is improbable. Doseresponse
relationships at low radiation doses should be studied in
large-scale animal experiments involving different mammal species,
using doses and dose rates comparable to human exposures in
question, shielded from bias and conflict of interest.
Evidence suggests that the experts overestimating medical
and ecological consequences of a moderate increase in a radiation
background, have acted in agreement with the interests of fossil fuel
vendors, certain companies and governments. In more developed
countries, antinuclear resentments have been supported by green
activists, well in agreement with the interests of fossil fuel vendors,
several companies and certain governments. After the Chernobyl
accident, literature over estimated its medical consequences. The
accident has been exploited to strangle nuclear energy, thus boosting
fossil fuel prices. Furthermore, nuclear facilities are potential targets
in armed conflicts. One of the motives to unleash the war in Ukraine
and threats to use nuclear weapons seems to be boosting fossil fuel
prices [37,105]. Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic,
called up to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The former Russian
president Dmitry Medvedev made explicit threats of a nuclear strike
[106]. Today, there are no alternatives to nuclear energy. In the
long run, non-renewable fossil fuels will become more expensive,
contributing to excessive population growth in fossil fuel-producing
regions and poverty elsewhere.
Conclusion
The concept that a slight increase in the radiation background
elevates SRB has been propagated by certain writers. This and
similar suppositions seem to camouflage the following relationships
exemplified in this review on the basis of the former SU. Except
for the Baltic States, all regions showed a significant SRB elevation
since 1986. The highest SRB ratios were reported from the South
Caucasus, being explained by the son preference and sex-selective
abortions. The same is probably true for the North Caucasus,
where the birthrate has been the highest in the Russian Federation.
The SRB elevation in the former SU coincided with the increasing
availability of the prenatal ultrasonic gender testing in the late 1980s.
Migrations further contribute to the gender imbalance: shortage of
men due to emigration creates additional stimuli for sex-selective
abortions in their native areas. The SRB in countries receiving
migrants is influenced by the ongoing immigration from regions
with the son preference and gender imbalance: the immigrants
bring their reproductive stereotypes with them. The predominance
of males is more conspicuous in lower socio-economic classes; their
marginalization may lead to antisocial behavior. The weightiest
argument against nucler energy is that NPPs are potential targets
in armed conflicts. One of the motives to exaggerate consequences
of low-dose radiation exposures and threats to use nuclear weapons
seems to be boosting fossil fuel prices.
The birth control has been obfuscated by presumed national
interests: the demographic growth was supposed to strengthen
the sovereignty and defenses. Smoldering international conflicts
contribute to the population growth in corresponding regions. The
gender imbalance with an excess of males is conductive to militarism
and international conflicts. The problems delineated above can
be solved by a worldwide demographic planning and economical
governance in conditions of globalization. Grandiose projects could
be accomplished to improve the quality of life all over the world:
irrigation systems, nuclear and other energy sources as an alternative
to fossil fuels; hydroelectric power plants can be built on large rivers
to produce hydrogen as eco-friendly energy carrier. New substances
used in the industry, nutrition and medicine must be tested in large
animal populations to achieve statistical significance and record
stochastic outcomes. Such projects would create many jobs, being a
reasonable alternative to excessive military expenditures. Not only
durable peace but also mutual trust is required for that.
Conflicts of interest:
The author has no conflicts of interest to declare.References
104. UNSCEAR (2010) Report. Summary of low-dose radiation effects on health. New York: United Nations.
106. Wikipedia (2023)